Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.583060 1.851268 2.130637 2.441736 2.776948 3.125849 3.515051
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.122303 1.484393 1.885682 2.356421 2.887096 3.461165 4.123692
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.869877 1.268982 1.732651 2.296880 2.952249 3.678564 4.534054
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.686283 1.106057 1.616719 2.259382 3.025598 3.892190 4.929982
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.578465 1.018478 1.575230 2.295176 3.171070 4.176934 5.396235
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.480549 0.929437 1.520762 2.305886 3.279392 4.413056 5.802324
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.383556 0.826987 1.437835 2.271752 3.325900 4.570548 6.112049
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.353729 0.818135 1.475955 2.389007 3.556155 4.945072 6.675463
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.329078 0.813361 1.517158 2.508560 3.788287 5.321496 7.241322
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.311376 0.816928 1.568337 2.640205 4.035145 5.715753 7.828881
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.300897 0.830686 1.633042 2.789376 4.304146 6.137257 8.449696
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.274548 0.813628 1.651143 2.874639 4.491162 6.458676 8.951111
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.226957 0.755750 1.611155 2.886929 4.594195 6.689810 9.360843
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.166785 0.661981 1.510395 2.811476 4.581897 6.778718 9.600544
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.118946 0.578881 1.417174 2.739353 4.567982 6.860638 9.827147
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.085718 0.516757 1.350780 2.700097 4.593054 6.987584 10.105185
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068596 0.489232 1.339305 2.738901 4.721290 7.243770 10.541339
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.051279 0.454034 1.311266 2.750998 4.812038 7.451598 10.917520
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.032908 0.404268 1.252286 2.713188 4.832389 7.568024 11.179452
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.030946 0.413733 1.302578 2.842690 5.083414 7.980997 11.810745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.029283 0.423878 1.354155 2.974418 5.337959 8.399116 12.449288
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.028639 0.438245 1.413930 3.119194 5.611105 8.841867 13.119416
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.029312 0.458675 1.485608 3.282893 5.911087 9.319921 13.834466